Nonagenarians qualify for total knee arthroplasty: a report on 329 patients from the Swedish Knee Arthroplasty Register 2000–2016

Background and purpose — The nonagenarian (those aged 90 years and older) population is expected to double in the next 20 years. This demographic age quake may have a significant impact on the incidence of total knee arthroplasty (TKA), although current literature provides limited data. We examined death and revision rates, patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and bias on patient selection of nonagenarian patients operated on with TKA for osteoarthritis (OA) between 2000 and 2016. Patients and methods — The Swedish national knee arthroplasty register was used to identify 329 nonagenarians (mean age, 92 years). Each patient was followed-up until death or the end of 2017. PRO data of 22 of these patients were compared with 65- to 74-year-old patients operated in 2015, from the same register. Results — 5 patients (1.5%) died within 90 days and 23 (7%) patients died within 365 days after TKA. 8 patients (2.4%) developed knee complications that needed revision. For patients followed for 5 and 10 years, more than 50% and 10%, respectively, lived without being revised. The patients had statistically significant improvements in PROs, not significantly different from the younger SKAR cohort. However, the material is small and this statistical finding does not preclude that there may be clinically relevant differences. TKA incidence was different amongst the 21 counties in the country (range, 0–5.1/10,000). Interpretation — Our study suggests that nonagenarians with knee OA qualify for TKA, having similar outcomes to younger patients. The data presented may help surgeons and patients assessing the risks and outcome associated with the procedure.

The nonagenarian population in Sweden was 95,300 (0.94%) in 2017 and is expected to rise to 199,900 (1.7%) in 2040 (Statistics Sweden). This demographic age quake has a substantial impact on the prevalence of symptomatic osteoarthritis (OA) (Nemes et al. 2015). Amongst OA of weight-bearing joints, knee OA has the most pronounced correlation with age. It affects one-fourth of the reported 56-to 84-year-old individuals in a population study from southern Sweden (Turkiewicz et al. 2014). The demand for primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is on the rise all round the world and this trend is expected to continue in the future (Koh et al. 2013, Culliford et al. 2015, Kurtz et al. 2014, Nemes et al. 2015, Inacio et al. 2017, Niemelainen et al. 2017. In studies reporting the outcome of the oldest knee arthroplasty patients, the cut-off has often been 85 years and older (Laskin 1999, Biau et al. 2006, Easterlin et al. 2013, Williams et al. 2013. With a focus on nonagenarians, we have found only 4 studies, all with low patient numbers (12-42) which include data from the 1970s until early 2000s (Belmar et al. 1999, Joshi and Gill 2002, Pagano et al. 2004, Karrupiah et al. 2008 (Table 1).
In this study we evaluated the nonagenarians in Sweden operated on with TKA for OA between 2000 and 2016 on 5 aspects: (1) the demographics, (2) early/total death rates (3) revision rate and reasons for revision, (4) patient-reported outcome (PRO), (5) difference in TKA incidence among the counties in Sweden.

Patients and methods
Patients aged 90 years and older who had undergone primary TKA for OA between January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2016 were identified in the Swedish Knee Arthroplasty Register (SKAR).
Background and purpose -The nonagenarian (those aged 90 years and older) population is expected to double in the next 20 years. This demographic age quake may have a significant impact on the incidence of total knee arthroplasty (TKA), although current literature provides limited data. We examined death and revision rates, patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and bias on patient selection of nonagenarian patients operated on with TKA for osteoarthritis (OA) between 2000 and 2016.
Patients and methods -The Swedish national knee arthroplasty register was used to identify 329 nonagenarians (mean age, 92 years). Each patient was followed-up until death or the end of 2017. PRO data of 22 of these patients were compared with 65-to 74-year-old patients operated in 2015, from the same register.
Results -5 patients (1.5%) died within 90 days and 23 (7%) patients died within 365 days after TKA. 8 patients (2.4%) developed knee complications that needed revision. For patients followed for 5 and 10 years, more than 50% and 10%, respectively, lived without being revised. The patients had statistically significant improvements in PROs, not significantly different from the younger SKAR cohort. However, the material is small and this statistical finding does not preclude that there may be clinically relevant differences. TKA incidence was different amongst the 21 counties in the country (range, 0-5.1/10,000).
Interpretation -Our study suggests that nonagenarians with knee OA qualify for TKA, having similar outcomes to younger patients. The data presented may help surgeons and patients assessing the risks and outcome associated with the procedure. Initiated in 1975 by the Swedish Orthopedic Association, the SKAR is the world's first national arthroplasty register. The SKAR has high completeness and correctness of data (SKAR 2017).
Patient demographics including age at surgery, date of surgery, sex, and county of residence were identified from the SKAR as well as data for outcome measures including current age or date of death, revisions, and reasons for these procedures. In the SKAR, revisions are defined as a new operation in a previously resurfaced knee in which 1 or more of the components are exchanged, removed, or added (including arthrodesis and amputation) (SKAR 2017). All the identified patients were followed-up until death, or until December 31, 2017. The proportion of death within 90 days and 1 year after the TKA was assessed. Data from the Swedish life tables was used to compare 1-year death rates and cumulative death rates of the TKA patients included with the national average of the same age group in 2016 (Human Mortality Database).
Revisions, reasons for, and time of revisions and consequent operations (if these occurred) were compiled and revision rate was calculated.
We identified PROs in patients 90 aged years and older operated on with TKA for OA from the SKAR PROM database in addition to the aforementioned data. We included patients operated between 2009 and 2015, but excluded the second knee if both knees had an arthroplasty within 1 year and the left knee if simultaneous surgery was performed (1 patient). The PROs of this sub-cohort of patients were then compared with those of the 65-to 74-year-old primary TKA patients operated on for OA during 2015 (SKAR 2017). The SKAR PROM project started in 2009 with patients undergoing knee arthroplasty in southern Sweden. Since then, hospitals from other regions have entered the PROM project. In 2015 approximately 28% of all TKAs for OA were included in the project that had both preoperative and 1-year postoperative PRO data and the response rate was 72% in 2015 for the 65to 74-year-old cohort (SKAR 2017). As PROs, we used the Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS), the EuroQol-visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS) and the visual analogue scale for patient satisfaction (VAS-satisfaction) (Roos et al. 1998, EuroQol Group 2015. Considering the difference in outcome between the groups, ≥ 8 points in the KOOS and ≥ 15 mm in EQ-VAS was considered a clinically relevant difference for statistically significant results. In addition, the KOOS was converted to the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) to be able to classify each patient as Osteoarthritis Research Society International-Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT-OARSI) responder or not at 1 year based on a combination of absolute and relative changes in WOMAC pain, function, and total scores (Pham et al. 2004). The outcome at 1 year was dichotomized into 'responders' and 'non-responders' according to these criteria (Pham et al. 2004). Patient satisfaction with the arthroplasty surgery 1 year postoperatively was evaluated using a 0-100 scale (VAS) in which 0 indicates the highest imag¬inable satisfaction and 100 the worst imaginable satisfaction. The satisfaction (VAS) score was categorized into 5 groups: very satisfied (0-20), satisfied (21-40), moderately  2000-2016 1990-2006 1970-1997 1976-1999 1983-1997  satisfied (41-60), unsatisfied (61-80), and very unsatisfied (81-100). In routine practice, PROs are collected 2 to 6 weeks prior to surgery at the outpatient visit. 1 year postoperatively, the same questionnaire is mailed to the patients together with the VAS-satisfaction questionnaire. Data for the length of stay (LoS) were only accessible for the region of Skane. Considering that LoS changed over the years, the data from only the last 10 years (January 1, 2007-December 31, 2016) were used for analysis to better reflect modern trends. LoS data were then compared between nonagenarians and the rest of the TKA population from the same period.
To compare patient selection bias between counties in Sweden, we used population data and number of TKAs for OA in each county to calculate incidence ratios.

Statistics
Life-table or actuarial analysis was used to access the cumulative death rate. Student's 2-sample t-test was used to compare the mean age at surgery between sexes for nonagenarians. Welch's t-test was used for comparisons of the KOOS and the EQ-VAS between the 2 age cohorts considering unequal variances and unequal sample sizes with assumption of normal distribution. The normality of the PRO data was controlled using the 2-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for equality of distribution functions and the distribution was found to be normally distributed for all PRO variables except for the preoperative KOOS symptoms. For analysis of proportions of OMERACT-OARSI responder and satisfaction with the surgery, a chi-square test was used for comparisons. The cumula-tive revision rate was calculated using the STATA Life-table method using one-month intervals. Statistical analyses were carried out using STATA (Stata Statistical Software: Release 15; StataCorp LLC, College Station, TX, USA).

Ethics, funding, and potential conflicts of interest
The data gathering from the Swedish Knee Arthroplasty Register was approved by the Ethics Board of Lund University (LU20-02). The authors received no specific funding for this work. No conflicts of interest were declared.

Results
Among 377 patients (408 knees) aged 90 years and older who had undergone knee arthroplasty, 329 patients with 359 primary TKAs inserted for OA were included in our study ( Figure 1). 31 patients had bilateral TKAs. 227 (69%) patients were women; the mean age at surgery (first knee in the case of bilateral knees) was 92 years (90-101) and this was similar between women and men. The mean length of follow-up was 50 months (0.2-145). 5 patients (1.5%) died in the first 90 days postoperatively and 23 patients (7%) died within 365 days after the TKA surgery ( Figure 2).
Up to December 31, 2017, 214 patients had died, leaving 115 alive. According to the cumulative death rate calculations, more than 50% of the patients had lived more than 5 years with their TKA and more than 10% had lived more than 10 years after the primary TKA ( Figure 3).
2 patients who had bilateral TKAs had the implants inserted simultaneously. One was 92 years and lived for 1 year and 8 months. The other was 95 years and lived for 4 years and 11 months. The oldest patient operated was 101 years old when he received his second TKA (the first being replaced 12 years earlier). He lived for another 1 year and 4 months. None of the arthroplasties in these 3 patients were revised. 8 patients (2.4%) developed complications that needed revision. The revisions were mostly early (from 1 week to 5     months). The cause was infection/suspected infection in 5/8 revisions and they were treated with debridement, antibiotics, irrigation, retention (DAIR), and exchange of the insert. 3 patients required additional surgery, including 1 arthrodesis and 1 amputation. None of the patients died due to their revision surgery (Table 2).
Both preoperative and 1-year postoperative PRO data were available for 22 of the nonagenarian patients (Figure 1). When PRO scores of the sub-cohort were compared with those of the 65-to 74-year-old primary TKA patients operated on for OA during 2015, the results were similar preoperatively and 1-year postoperatively in all PROs, except for the KOOS symptoms subscale. On the KOOS symptoms subscale, the nonagenarian group reported statistically and clinically significantly fewer symptoms, both preoperatively and 1-year postoperatively, than the younger group (Table 3). The proportion of OMER-ACT-OARSI responders was 89% in the younger group and three-fourths of the nonagenarians (17/22 patients) were classified as responders. Furthermore, 85% of the younger group and 21/22 of nonagenarian patients were very satisfied or satisfied with the surgery (Table 3).
The mean LoS for nonagenarians was somewhat longer (6.2, CI 5.1-7.4) than for the rest of the TKA for OA population (4.1, CI 4.1-4.2) in the region of Skane between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2016. In addition, there was a noticeable change in the mean LoS for the TKA population during these 10 years (6.2 to 2.8 days).

Discussion
Improvements in general health, medical services, and social welfare have caused a substantial increase in the nonagenarian population. This will undoubtedly result in a higher number of patients with advanced knee OA. Our results on death rates, revision rates, and PROs suggest that nonagenarians with knee OA who qualify for TKA have good outcomes as compared with the other age groups having TKA. However, the material is small and there may be differences. We found varying incidences (0-5/100,000) of TKA in nonagenarians in different counties in Sweden, which indicates a bias in patient selection.
Our findings concerning death rates, revision rates, and PROs are mostly in line with others (Belmar et al. 1999, Joshi and Gill 2002, Pagano et al. 2004, Karrupiah et al. 2008 (Table 1).
Complications are one of the key factors to be considered when making the decision for TKA in nonagenarian patients. Perioperative complication rates after TKA have been reported as being as high as 11 of 15 TKAs and as low as 5 of 20 TKAs in the nonagenarian population (Belmar et al. 1999, Joshi andGill 2002). D' Apuzzo et al. (2014) identi-fied more than 58,000 nonagenarians in the USA Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) who had had TKA or THA surgery for various diagnoses and found that age affected the rate of early medical complications after total joint arthroplasty. Although complication rates seem to be higher in nonagenarians than in younger patients undergoing TKA, it is important to point out that almost all of these complications were reported to be typically transient, being resolved in the early postoperative days without long-term sequelae. It should also be kept in mind that the definition of complications, follow-up duration (days versus years), and inclusion of historic data varies substantially amongst studies, which results in various rates of reported complications (Belmar et al. 1999, Joshi and Gill 2002, Pagano et al. 2004, Alfonso et al. 2007, Karrupiah et al. 2008, Petruccelli et al. 2012, Kennedy et al. 2013, D'Apuzzo et al. 2014, Kuperman et al. 2016. Death rate may be considered as an indicator of safety; however, its use in elective surgery such as TKA in very old patients is limited as these patients naturally have a shorter life expectancy, irrespective of the surgery. Average life expectancy of a 90-year-old Swedish person was 4.2 years in 2016 (Human Mortality Database). In this case, the long-term death rate would be less important compared with patients' ability to be active and independent in their remaining years. Because of this, early and 1-year postoperative death rates are better indicators for safety. That being said, nonagenarians who are offered or demand a primary TKA are more likely to have better health than their counterparts. As previously shown  Figure 4. Incidence ratio calculated for each county, using the number of TKAs and inhabitants in each county. (Joshi andGill 2002, Alfonso et al. 2007), it is no surprise that the average life expectancy of nonagenarians who had TKA surpasses the national average of their counterparts. Our cohort with a mean age of 92 years had lower 1-year death rate than the average 92-year-old individual in Sweden in 2016 (7% and 20%) (Human Mortality Database). Another important point to note is that cumulative death rates of the patients in our study at both 5 years and 10 years after the operation were noticeably lower than their 92-year-old counterparts (43% and 73%, 85% and 97% respectively) (Figure 3). This shows that more than half of the nonagenarian patients can expect to live more than 5 years with their implant. Our findings on death rates were in line with the literature (Belmar et al. 1999, Joshi and Gill 2002, Pagano et al. 2004, Karrupiah et al. 2008 (Table 1). Similar death rates were found in reports studying both TKA and THA in nonagenarians (Alfonso et al. 2007, Petruccelli et al. 2012. Petruccelli et al. (2012) showed in a literature review consisting of 105 total arthroplasties in nonagenarians that the perioperative death rate was 2%, and 1-year postoperative death rate was 8%, while D' Apuzzo et al. (2014) showed that the US cohort of 58,000 nonagenarians operated on with total arthroplasty had a substantially higher in-hospital death rate (3%) than younger patients (45-89 years, 0.2%) even after adjusting for comorbidities. The higher rate may be the result of their material including several indications for arthroplasty such as hip fractures and rheumatoid arthritis.
Revision rates for primary TKA in the nonagenarians have not been thoroughly analyzed in the literature, probably due to a limited number of patients included (Belmar et al. 1999, Joshi and Gill 2002, Pagano et al. 2004, Karrupiah et al. 2008 (Table 1). In our study, 8 of 329 (2.4%) patients had revision surgery, all within the first 5 months after the primary TKA. Their first revisions probably did not affect these patients' death rate, as they lived for another 2-10 years after the first revision.
Our study showed a comparable outcome regarding pain to the other nonagenarian studies reporting patient/surgeonreported outcomes, while those studies reported less improvement in function (Belmar et al. 1999, Joshi and Gill 2002, Pagano et al. 2004, Karrupiah et al. 2008) (see Table 1). Alfonso et al. (2007) suggested the reason for lower functional improvement might be other conditions such as systemic disease, poor balance, and impaired vision rather than the inefficiency of TKA. However, these studies, except for the study by Karrupiah et al. (2008), probably reported the surgeon's opinions with the earlier KSS rather than the patients' experiences. It is also important to point out that the nonagenarians in our study reported fewer symptoms in the KOOS both preoperatively and 1-year postoperatively than the younger age group; it could be speculated that nonagenarians may have had more disabling/pronounced symptoms from other parts of the body than those from the knee or, owing to the bias in patient selection, older patients may have had a more positive attitude in life and thus experienced less pain and fewer symptoms than the average patient (Thompson et al. 2018). Satisfaction with the surgery was high (21 of 22) and most of the patients were classified as OMERACT-OARSI responders (17 of 22). However, TKA surgery hardly improved the EQ-VAS in both nonagenarian and 65-to 74-year-old group, preoperatively to 1-year postoperatively according to our definition of clinical relevance. The reason may be that TKA surgery is not expected to improve the health in this group of patients.
The variation in the regional incidence of TKA in Sweden indicates possible discrimination against nonagenarians amongst orthopedic surgeons in different counties. In addition, if general practitioners lack belief in knee arthroplasty in nonagenarians these patients are not referred to the orthopedic surgeon, which could contribute to the patient selection bias. This has rarely been discussed in the literature. In a prospective cohort study by Hamel et al. (2008), 174 patients with severe radiographic knee and hip OA were identified. During 1-year follow-up they reported 123 of the patients did not undergo TKA. Half of these patients reported that surgery had never been suggested, and the rest had been hesitant to have surgical treatment. Patients who were not operated were reported to be older than the rest of the cohort, indicating age discrimination. Our data on this topic may help both the surgeon and the patient to make an informed decision.
The burden on health resources can also be debated while deciding on elective surgery in the elderly population. Fewer years of expected life may seem like a limiting factor for the cost-effectiveness of the surgery. Our data from the last 10 years showed that nonagenarian patients' LoS was 2 days longer compared with those who were younger, which is associated with higher costs per TKA. In addition, there was a noticeable change in the mean LoS for the TKA cohort in this study during these 10 years (6.2 to 2.8 days), which reflects the change in healthcare trends. In Sweden, the average cost of TKA for 90-to 94-year-old patients was US$ 7,810 in 2016 (Swedish Association of Local Authorities and Regions 2017). This amount should be compared with the possible economic burden caused by keeping a healthy, active patient away from TKA. Pain, loss of strength, and lower bone density are few of the problems that can diminish the ability of nonagenarians to live independently. Karrupiah et al. (2008) have assumed that nonagenarian patients with severe OA would have required nursing home admission without the surgery, as 15% of all patient admissions to nursing homes are due to immobility secondary to arthritis (Guccione et al. 1989). In countries where the government finances social care; delaying nursing home placement may reduce the burden on health resources (Karrupiah et al. 2008). This might be suggested to be the case for Sweden because the average annual cost per person in a nursing home is US$ 90,561 (Swedish Association of Local Authorities and Regions 2018).
We acknowledge limitations of this study. Clinical information (i.e., comorbidities, amount of blood loss, medical com-plications) was not available in the SKAR, which precluded analysis of risks associated with death. Another limitation is that PRO data have been collected since 2009 in the SKAR and the data collection is not compulsory, which reduced the number of patients for PRO analysis.
In summary, our study emphasizes that TKA is a safe procedure with good outcome in nonagenarians with OA. Our findings may help surgeons and patients assessing the risks and outcome associated with the procedure.
The study was conceived by LL. OR, AWD, and EAS performed the analyses and LL and EAS wrote the initial draft. All the authors contributed to the interpretation of the data and to revision of the manuscript.