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Features

Sea level rise, storm risk, denial, and the future of coastal cities

Pages 40-50
Published online: 27 Nov 2015

The world’s present coastal land use is unsustainable in the face of sea level rise and storm surges induced by climate change. This is true of urban, suburban, and—to some degree—recreational use of coastal land, but it is especially true of the urban infrastructure that serves our economic activities and livelihoods. Hurricane Sandy was only one example of what the future holds; such events will occur with greater frequency and severity as the level of the ocean rises as much as 6 feet by the end of this century. Therefore, architects, engineers, designers, urban planners, developers, infrastructure operators, and decision makers in the private and public sectors must start planning now the best ways to minimize the increased flood hazards that threaten the built environment. Using New York City as a case study, this article delves into the major competing approaches: defending against flood and rising waters with massive earthworks and expensive engineered structures; accommodating to and living with the rising waters so that the city can recover quickly after flooding; strategically relocating to higher ground; and spreading the risk via insurance. It also examines two other options: doing nothing, and stopping the flooding problem at its source.

Acknowledgements

The author is grateful for insights gained during his activities as a member of the New York City Panel on Climate Change and the research group advising the post-Hurricane Sandy Rebuild by Design competition, underwritten by the Department of Housing and Urban Development together with the Rockefeller Foundation.

Funding

This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Author biography

Klaus H. Jacob received his doctorate in geophysics at the University of Frankfurt, Germany, in 1968. Since then, he has been with Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, USA, where he has carried out research in basic and engineering seismology with projects on five continents. He has focused on climate change adaptation and taught disaster risk management at numerous institutions, including Columbia University, Barnard College, and the Earth Institute. He has served on committees advising city, state, and federal agencies and testified before Congress. Jacob is a member of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, the Seismological Society of America, and the American Geophysical Union.

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