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ABSTRACT

Modeling serial dependence in time series is an important step in statistical process control. We provide a set of automatic routines useful for simulating and analyzing time series under a copula-based serial dependence. First, we introduce routines that generate time series data under a given copula. Second, we provide fully automated routines for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates for given time series data and then drawing a Shewhart-type control chart. Finally, real data are analyzed for illustration. We make the routines available as “Copula.Markov” package in R.

KEYWORDS: Clayton copulaJoe copulaNewton–Raphson algorithmShewhart control chart
MATHEMATICS SUBJECT CLASSIFICATION: 62M1062H1262H2060J20

Author contribution

Emura T: Designed and supervised the study. Wrote and revised the draft. Derived mathematical expressions. Made the R package.

Long TH: Made part of R routines. Wrote part of the draft.

Sun LH: Collected and analyzed the financial data (Section 3.2).

Acknowledgment

The authors thank the editor and reviewer for their helpful comments that led to improvements of their article.

Funding

The work of T. Emura is supported by the research grant funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology of Taiwan (MOST 103-2118-M-008-MY2).

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