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Journal Journal of Quality Technology
A Quarterly Journal of Methods, Applications and Related Topics
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Abstract

Fully-sequential (i.e., with design points added one-at-a-time) space-filling designs are useful for global surrogate modeling of expensive computer experiments when the number of design points required to achieve a suitable accuracy is unknown in advance. We develop and investigate three fully-sequential space-filling (FSSF) design algorithms that are conceptually simple and computationally efficient and that achieve much better space-filling properties than alternative methods such as Sobol sequences and more complex batch-sequential methods based on sliced or nested optimal Latin hypercube designs (LHDs). Remarkably, at each design size in the sequence, our FSSF algorithms even achieve much better space-filling properties than a one-shot LHD optimized for that specific size. The algorithms we propose also scale well to very large design sizes. We provide an R package to implement the approaches.

Acknowledgments

The authors gratefully acknowledge NSF Grants CMMI-1537641 and CMMI-1436574 for support of this work. This research was supported in part through the computational resources and staff contributions provided for the Quest high-performance computing facility at Northwestern University, which is jointly supported by the Office of the Provost, the Office for Research, and Northwestern University Information Technology.

Additional information

Funding

This work was supported by the National Science Foundation.

Notes on contributors

Boyang Shang

Boyang Shang is currently a Ph.D. student of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences at Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. She obtained M.S. degree of Engineering Sciences and Applied Mathematics at Northwestern University, Evanston, IL and B.S. degree of Mathematics at Beihang University, Beijing, China. She has research experience in statistical modeling and design of experiments.

Daniel W. Apley

Daniel W. Apley is a Professor of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences at Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. His research lies at the interface of engineering modeling, statistical analysis, and predictive analytics, with particular emphasis on manufacturing and enterprise operations in which large amounts of data are available. He received the NSF CAREER award in 2001, the IIE Transactions Best Paper Award in 2003, the Wilcoxon Prize for best practical application paper appearing in Technometrics in 2008, and the Lloyd S. Nelson Award for the paper with the greatest immediate impact to practitioners appearing in the Journal of Quality Technology in 2018. He has served as Editor-in-Chief of Technometrics (2017–2020) and the Journal of Quality Technology (2009–2012), Chair of the Quality, Statistics & Reliability Section of INFORMS, and Director of the Manufacturing and Design Engineering Program at Northwestern.

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