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Original Articles

The social cost of foreign exchange reserves

Pages 253-266
Published online: 17 Feb 2007
 
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Abstract

There has been a very rapid rise since the early 1990s in foreign reserves held by developing countries. These reserves have climbed to almost 30% of developing countries' GDP and 8 months of imports. Assuming reasonable spreads between the yield on reserve assets and the cost of foreign borrowing, the income loss to these countries amounts to close to 1% of GDP. Conditional on existing levels of short-term foreign borrowing, this does not seem too steep a price as an insurance premium against financial crises. But why developing countries have not tried harder to reduce short-term foreign liabilities in order to achieve the same level of liquidity (thereby paying a smaller cost in terms of reserve accumulation) remains an important puzzle.

Acknowledgment

This paper was prepared for presentation at the American Economic Association meeting in Boston, January 2006. The author is grateful to Jeffrey Frankel and Ricardo Hausmann for helpful conversations, to Ken Froot, Bob Hormats, Rick Mishkin, Helene Rey, and Federico Sturzenegger for comments, and to Joe Stiglitz for his insistence that I write this paper. After this paper was prepared and presented, the author became aware of the closely related work by Baker & Walentin (2001) Baker, Dean and Walentin, Karl. 2001. “Money for nothing: the increasing cost of foreign reserve holdings to developing nations”. Washington DC: Center for Economic Policy and Research. November [Google Scholar], which I am happy to acknowledge.

 

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