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Original Articles

Evaluating Israel's Strategy of Low-Intensity Warfare, 1949–2006

Pages 319-349
Published online: 31 Aug 2007

This study examines the strategic and tactical logic of Israel's limited uses of force against Arab states and against substate actors. It evaluates the effectiveness of these policies, and their political and strategic ramifications. The study is based on a historical survey of these policies and on quantitative analysis of a dataset of the use of limited force by Israel over the 1949–2003 period. The findings suggest, first, that limited force strategies were occasionally used to foster escalation. In other cases, the mismanagement of limited engagements resulted in inadvertent escalation to full-blown wars. Second, domestic political and social considerations had important effects on the nature and intensity of Israeli uses of limited force. Third, Israeli reliance on offensive strategies has not only consistently failed, but produced adverse military and diplomatic side effects. Defensive and preventive measures have shown a much greater degree of success. The study concludes that a combination of military and diplomatic measures produces far more effective results than strictly military ones.

Zeev Maoz is Professor of Political Science and Director of the International Relations Program at the University of California, Davis and a Distinguished Fellow at the Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya, Israel. He is the author of six books and over eighty scholarly articles on various aspects of international relations. His most recent book is Defending the Holy Land: A Critical Analysis of Israel's Security and Foreign Policy (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2006). This article expands and updates that book.

I wish to thank Michael Barnett, Michael Desch, and the anonymous reviewers of Security Studies for their comments on a previous draft.

 

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