8
Views
2
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

The 1984 Presidential Campaign and the Future of Election Studies

Pages 111-126
Published online: 16 Mar 2010
 

The concepts that successfully accounted for Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide victory over “extremist” Barry Goldwater in 1964 fail to provide a satisfactory explanation of the magnitude of Ronald Reagan's victory over mainstream candidate Walter Mondale in 1984. Using the 1984 CPS-ISR continuous monitoring study (January-June 1984), this article argues that standard measures of voters' estimates of candidates' personal characteristics, feelings of warmth towards candidates, party identifications, ideological orientations, and socio-economic characteristics appear to be of limited help in accounting for the political changes in the electoral process that most of us sense. The conclusions suggest that a better understanding of these changes might emerge from studies that moved away from reliance on traditional concepts developed from surveys of the general electorate. Researchers instead should focus upon the political elites who run campaigns and develop concepts appropriate to studying the ability of consultants and managers to market candidates as successfully as they market other commercial products.

The critical element in political maneuver for advantage is the creation of meaning; the construction of beliefs about the significance of events, of problems, of crises, of policy changes, and of leaders.

–Murray Edelman (1985: 10)

Reprints and Permissions

Please note: We are unable to provide a copy of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or commercial or derivative permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below.

Permission can also be obtained via Rightslink. For more information please visit our Permissions help page.