Numerical Comparison of CUSUM and Shiryaev–Roberts Procedures for Detecting Changes in Distributions

The CUSUM procedure is known to be optimal for detecting a change in distribution under a minimax scenario, whereas the Shiryaev–Roberts procedure is optimal for detecting a change that occurs at a distant time horizon. As a simpler alternative to the conventional Monte Carlo approach, we propose a numerical method for the systematic comparison of the two detection schemes in both settings, i.e., minimax and for detecting changes that occur in the distant future. Our goal is accomplished by deriving a set of exact integral equations for the performance metrics, which are then solved numerically. We present detailed numerical results for the problem of detecting a change in the mean of a Gaussian sequence, which show that the difference between the two procedures is significant only when detecting small changes.

Keywords

• CUSUM test,
• Fredholm integral equation of the second kind,
• Numerical analysis,
• Quickest change-point detection,
• Sequential analysis,
• Shiryaev–Roberts test

Mathematics Subject Classification

• Primary 62L10, 62L15,
• Secondary 60G40